Compared to the crisis at the world level, it seems that India for now has some silver linings despite the many life and economic blows it is taking. As on May 19, 2020 these are the trends that provide hope.
- In terms of case mortality per lakh population, India’s record is much better than the world’s average.
- The recovery rate is improving fast in India while the number of tests has gained speed.
- There are fewer number of cases are in Intensive Care Unit; majority positive cases are under mild category.
Testing Hits A Lakh per Day Mark
A record was reported in testing on May 18, as India tested 1,08,233 samples in a single day. It shows that India has not wasted time to increase its capacity in testing. This is the first time that single day testing hit the 1 lakh mark. So far, India has tested a total of 24,25,742 samples.
India had only one lab when it started testing in January. Now, the country has over 385 government laboratories and 158 private laboratories for testing. Forging partnerships with all central government labs, states’ medical colleges, private medical colleges and private sector – the testing capacity in the country has been expanded. Other testing machines like TrueNAT and CBNAAT have also been mobilized to ramp up testing. 15 depots have been created by roping in India Posts and private agencies, which ensured the supply of testing materials. Many Indian companies have been supported to undertake production of testing material which was earlier primarily sourced from abroad.
Death Rate in Control
Considering the fact that India is big both in terms of population and geographical spread, a mere comparison of absolute number may not give a clear picture.
In terms of case mortality per lakh population, India has so far about 0.2 deaths per lakh population. The world average stands at 4.1 deaths per lakh population. This data from WHO explains the comparatively better performance of India in controlling the fatalities.
In US and UK, mortality per lakh population is 26.6 and 52.1 respectively. Even in the instance of Germany, which many analysts believe has managed well, has a mortality rate of 9.6 per lakh.
You might have come across articles that have richly described how Sweden is controlling Corona with very limited restrictions on economic activities. For the record, it’s mortality per lakh population is 36.1.
India currently has 58,802 active cases. Of the active cases, only approx. 2.9% of the cases are in ICU. Back in April 8, the Health Ministry stated that around 80% of COVID-19 cases are mild or very mild.
This further corroborates with the recovery rate India is witnessing at present. On May 19, the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare stated that “during last 24 hours, a total of 2,350 COVID-19 patients have been cured. Thus, so far, a total of 39,174 patients have been cured of COVID-19. This means a recovery rate of 38.73% amongst COVID-19 patients. The recovery rate is improving continuously.”